The Fall of Colosio

3,821 words · 20 min read
Teen and up

Carlos Salinas de Gortari moved through the corridors of Los Pinos like a man who had never once doubted he belonged there, and that was the most dangerous thing about him.

Born into the PRI aristocracy—his father Raúl a cabinet secretary during the Álvarez administration, young Carlos raised on the quiet machinations that built modern Mexico—he had been bred for precisely this office. Harvard-educated, technocratic, possessed of that particular coldness that dressed itself in reformist rhetoric. He had taken the presidency in 1988 through an election so brazenly stolen that the system itself nearly buckled under the weight of its own fraud. The computers had "crashed' when the count turned against him. When they came back online, he had won. Simple as that.

And now he had done what no Mexican president had done in decades: he had changed everything. Privatized the banks. Opened the borders through NAFTA. Dismantled the ejidos, the communal farms that were the last fragment of the Revolution's promise to the poor. He had made Mexico safe for capital, and capital had made Carlos Salinas a legend in certain rooms. The boy wonder. The technocrat who could.

But 1994 had begun with a scream.

The Zapatistas rising in Chiapas on the very day NAFTA took effect, those indigenous faces and their pipe-smoking spokesman declaring that the Mexico Salinas built had no place for them. The peso wobbled. The investors who had called him a genius began whispering about instability. And his handpicked successor, Luis Donaldo Colosio—the man he had chosen to continue his legacy, the son of a bricklayer who had risen through the party ranks through sheer competence and that stubborn integrity that the old guard found so irritating—had begun to drift.

Not much. Just enough. A speech here, a phrase there. Colosio had started speaking about "the Mexico below," about justice and inequality, about a country that NAFTA had left behind. He had looked out at the crowds and seen something that terrified the men around Salinas: genuine hope. The people believed Colosio might actually change things.

Salinas had built too much to watch it unravel.

Now he stood at the window of his private study, watching the dusk settle over the Distrito Federal, that endless sprawl of twenty million souls breathing their gray breath into the valley air. The presidential residence felt vast tonight. He had sent his staff away. Only one meeting remained on his schedule, and that was by design.

A knock at the door. Soft. Almost tentative.

"Adelante."

Luis Donaldo Colosio entered with that slightly rumpled look he never quite lost no matter how expensive his suits became. He was fifty years old but seemed younger in some lights, older in others—the weight of the coming campaign visible in the brackets around his mouth, the gray advancing at his temples. He had been Salinas's Secretary of Social Development, his point man on poverty, the one who was supposed to make the administration look human. Now he was the anointed one. El candidato.

"Carlos," Colosio said, and there was weariness in his voice. "Thank you for seeing me."

"Of course." Salinas gestured to the leather chair across from his desk, but didn't sit himself. Instead he moved to the small bar against the wall, his back to Colosio. "Tequila?"

"It's a bit early."

"It's always early somewhere." He poured two glasses anyway, a fine añejo from Jalisco that had been a gift from someone whose name he had already forgotten. When he turned, his face held that easy smile that had disarmed so many opponents over the years. "How was Sonora?"

"Complicated." Colosio accepted the glass but didn't drink. He held it like a prop, his mind clearly elsewhere. "The crowds are... different than I expected. Hungry. Not for the usual things—promises and handouts and the rest. They're hungry for something real."

"They're always hungry. That's why we feed them the same meal every six years and call it democracy."

Colosio's jaw tightened. Just slightly. Just enough.

"That's what I wanted to talk to you about."

Salinas settled into the chair beside him, not behind the desk—this was a conversation between friends, between allies, between the present and the future of Mexico. He kept his expression open. Interested. He had learned long ago that the most dangerous thing a politician can do is let his eyes show his calculations.

"Talk," Salinas said.

Colosio leaned forward, elbows on knees, the glass dangling from his fingers. "I've been thinking about the campaign. About what it needs to be. And I've come to believe that I can't run as your continuation."

The silence stretched for three heartbeats.

"Go on."

"The country is..." Colosio searched for the word. "Wounded. Deeply. NAFTA was necessary, I understand that, but the transition has been brutal for the people who can least afford it. The privatizations, the land reforms—all of it has left scars that we haven't acknowledged. If I go out there and promise more of the same, I'll lose. Not the election—the PRI doesn't lose elections. But I'll lose the people. And I think..." He stopped, swallowed. "I think the people need to hear something different."

Salinas tilted his head. Studied the man before him with the same clinical attention he had once applied to economic models at Harvard. Colosio was intelligent, there was no question of that, but his intelligence was of a different order than Salinas's own. He actually believed in things. Believed that politics could be more than management, that government could be more than the careful distribution of patronage. It was charming, in its way. It was also a problem.

"Different how?" Salinas asked quietly.

"Truth." The word fell between them like a stone into still water. "I want to talk about the corruption, Carlos. About the violence. About what the narcos have bought and what they've done to our institutions. About the elections of '88 and what they really meant. I want to tell people that I know the system is broken and that I'm going to fix it."

The dusk outside had deepened. Through the window, the lights of the city were coming alive, millions of them, like fever-stars.

"You want to run against me," Salinas said.

"I want to run for Mexico."

"There is no Mexico without the PRI. And there is no PRI without..." He let the sentence hang, unfinished.

Colosio finally met his eyes. "I know what I'm asking. I know what it means to the group around you, to the people who built this administration. But I've spent my whole life climbing, Carlos. And now that I'm near the top, I find I want to do more than just occupy the chair. I want to deserve it."

Salinas swirled the tequila in his glass. The amber liquid caught the lamplight and fractured it into tiny, transient suns. He was thinking of his brother Raúl, who had grown fat on the corrupt practices that Carlos pretended not to see. He was thinking of the narcos who had woven themselves into the fabric of the party until the two were indistinguishable. He was thinking of the bankers who had made billions from the privatizations and who expected the next six years to be equally generous. He was thinking of the American investors who had been promised stability and who would flee at the first sign of genuine reform.

He was thinking of his legacy. The thing he cared about more than any human being he had ever known.

"You know," Salinas said, his voice almost gentle, "my father used to tell me something when I was young. He said that the Revolution wasn't a historical event. It was an agreement. An agreement among the powerful to share just enough with the powerless to keep the peace. And he said that anyone who tried to break that agreement—who tried to give the people more than the system could bear—would find that the system had ways of protecting itself."

Colosio's expression flickered. Something like fear crossed his features, there and gone. "Is that a threat?"

"It's a history lesson." Salinas rose, moved to the window, his silhouette dark against the city lights. "I built something here, Luis Donaldo. Something that will outlast both of us. A modern Mexico, integrated into the world economy, respected by the powers that matter. Do you have any idea how fragile that is? How easily it could all unravel? One wrong speech. One honest moment. One man who believes too much in his own righteousness." He turned back. "The markets would panic. The capital flight would begin. The peso would collapse, and twenty million people would sink back into the poverty we just pulled them out of. Is that what you want?"

"I want to believe there's more to governing than protecting the wealthy."

"There isn't." The words were simple. Flat. Final. "There never has been. Not in this country. Not in any country. The only question is whether you're honest enough with yourself to admit it."

Colosio stood. His hands were trembling slightly, though his voice remained steady. "I've made my decision. I'm going to give the speech. I'm going to tell the truth. And if the party can't support that..." He took a breath. "Then maybe the party needs to change."

Salinas watched him. This man he had mentored, promoted, chosen. This man who was about to unravel everything.

"Where will you give this speech?" he asked.

"In Tijuana. At the end of the month. A rally in Lomas Taurinas."

"Lomas Taurinas." Salinas repeated the name as if tasting it. "A difficult venue. Crowded. Chaotic. Hard to control."

"I'm not afraid of chaos."

"No." Salinas smiled, and for just a moment, something cold and ancient moved behind his eyes. "I don't suppose you are."

They stood in silence for a long moment. The city hummed beyond the windows. Somewhere in the distance, sirens wailed—a sound as constant in Mexico City as breathing.

"Luis Donaldo," Salinas said finally, and there was warmth in his voice, genuine warmth, because he meant it, he truly did, "you are a good man. Perhaps too good for this business. I hope you find what you're looking for."

Colosio seemed to relax slightly. He finished his tequila in one swallow and set the glass on the desk. "Thank you, Carlos. For everything. Even when we disagree, I've never forgotten what you did for me."

"You've earned everything you have. Remember that."

He walked Colosio to the door. They embraced—the abrazo of Mexican politics, that ritual of intimacy between men who might one day destroy each other. Colosio's cologne was faintly sandalwood. His heart beat steadily against Salinas's chest.

"Goodnight, Mr. President."

"Goodnight, Luis Donaldo. Safe travels."

And then he was gone, and Salinas was alone with the settling dark and the weight of what he had just done.

He returned to his desk. Drew a folded piece of paper from the bottom drawer—a number he had written there months ago, when Colosio had first begun to waver, just in case. He had hoped it wouldn't come to this. He had hoped his friend would remember where his loyalties lay.

But hope, Salinas had long ago learned, was for people who couldn't afford certainty.

He picked up the phone. Dialed.

A voice answered on the second ring—rough, cautious, professional.

"It's me." Salinas spoke softly, though there was no one to hear. "Lomas Taurinas. March twenty-third. Make it clean, and make sure there's a patsy nearby. Someone the press can blame. A lone gunman. You understand."

A pause. Then: "Understood, Mr. President."

The line went dead.

Salinas set down the phone and poured himself another tequila. He raised the glass to the window, to the vast and wounded city sprawling beneath him, to the legacy he would protect at any cost.

The Revolution, as his father had said, was an agreement.

And Luis Donaldo Colosio had just broken it.


The bar was a hole in the wall on Calle República de Cuba, the kind of place where politicians came to disappear among the smoke and bad lighting and the comfortable anonymity of drunks who knew better than to recognize anyone important. It had no name outside, just a painted Corona sign faded to the color of old bone, and inside it smelled of mescal and cigarettes and the sweat of a hundred years of conversations just like this one.

Luis Donaldo Colosio had his arm draped around Andrés Manuel López Obrador's shoulders, and they were both three sheets to the wind and working on the fourth.

"To the president," Colosio slurred, raising his glass. "The next one, I mean. Not the current prick."

"Luis Donaldo!" Obrador's eyes went wide with mock-scandal, though he was grinning, that gap-toothed smile that made him look like a mischievous farmboy despite his fifty years. "You shouldn't say such things. Walls have ears." He leaned in conspiratorially, nearly toppling off his barstool. "And Carlos has spies everywhere. Probably under the table right now, listening to us piss."

"Let him listen." Colosio waved a dismissive hand, nearly knocking over the bottle of mezcal between them. A woman behind the bar—a heavyset matron with dyed black hair and arms like hams—glared at them but said nothing. They were the only customers left. "He's my friend, Andrés. My mentor. He wants me to succeed. He chose me himself."

Obrador's face changed. Something flickered behind his eyes—worry, maybe, or something darker. He reached for the bottle, poured himself another measure, and knocked it back before speaking.

"That's what I wanted to talk to you about."

"You wanted to talk to me about many things tonight." Colosio laughed, clapping him on the back. "You wanted to talk about the peasants in Tabasco. About the oil money. About how the gringos are stealing everything not nailed down. About—"

"Luis Donaldo. Listen to me."

The tone cut through. Colosio stopped, studied his friend's face. Obrador had that look he got sometimes, the one that made people underestimate him right up until he crushed them—the look of a man who saw conspiracies everywhere because, in Mexico, conspiracies were everywhere.

"I have contacts," Obrador said quietly. "People in the party. People who talk, when they've had enough to drink or when they're scared enough. And they're saying things."

"What things?"

"There's a contract." Obrador leaned closer, his breath hot and sour with mezcal. "Out on someone. They won't say who. But the money came from Los Pinos, and the order came from the top. From Carlos himself."

Colosio stared at him. Then he burst out laughing.

"You're drunk."

"Of course I'm drunk. We're both drunk. But that doesn't mean I'm wrong."

"Andrés, you see conspiracies in your breakfast eggs." Colosio shook his head, still chuckling. "Carlos is my friend. He's been like a brother to me. Why would he put a hit on anyone, let alone—" He stopped. Something in Obrador's expression made the laughter die in his throat. "Wait. You think—"

"I don't think anything. I'm telling you what I heard. And I'm telling you to be careful tomorrow in Tijuana."

"Tijuana is fine. The rally is fine. Raúl is handling security personally."

"Raúl." Obrador spat the name like a curse. "Raúl is Carlos's brother. Raúl has stolen more money than God and killed more men than the cartels. You trust Raúl with your security?"

"I trust the party with my security. The same party you belong to, by the way, last I checked."

Obrador reached into his jacket—a rumpled linen thing that looked like it had been slept in, which it probably had—and withdrew a folded piece of paper. He smoothed it on the bar, his fingers fumbling with the creases.

"I have files," he said, his voice dropping even lower. "On my desk in Tabasco. Classified. Someone leaked them to me, I don't know who, but they're authentic. D'you know what's in them?"

"I'm sure you're about to tell me."

"Names. Politicians. Judges. Businessmen. People who crossed Carlos or Raúl or one of their cronies. And do you know what happened to them?"

Colosio said nothing. The woman behind the bar had disappeared into the back room. The Corona sign outside flickered, casting shadows that jumped and twisted across the walls.

"They were castrated," Obrador said. "Physically. Surgically. Some of them died from it, some of them didn't, but all of them were ruined. Men who had been threats to the administration, suddenly exposed as— as impotent. Literally. Messages sent." He tapped the paper with a thick finger. "There's a doctor. A military surgeon. He's been doing this for years. Taking men who thought they were untouchable and making them into warnings."

"That's insane."

"That's Mexico."

Colosio reached for the bottle, poured himself another drink, and threw it back like it was water. His hand was trembling slightly. The mezcal burned going down, a good burn, the kind that made you feel alive.

"You're being paranoid, Andrés. You've always been paranoid. It's what makes you good at what you do—you see angles nobody else sees. But sometimes a cigar is just a cigar, and sometimes a friend is just a friend."

"Carlos Salinas has no friends. Only assets and liabilities."

"That's not true." But Colosio's voice had lost some of its certainty. He stared at the bar top, at the rings of moisture left by a thousand glasses, at the carved initials of lovers and enemies long gone. "He chose me. He believed in me."

"He chose you because you were useful. And now you're talking about reform, about truth, about changing the system that made him rich and powerful. What do you think happens to useful things when they stop being useful?"

Colosio looked up. Met his friend's eyes. Obrador was leaning in close, his face inches away, and there was something desperate in his expression—something that looked almost like love.

"Nothing is going to happen to me," Colosio said, but his voice wavered.

"Promise me you'll be careful. Promise me you'll watch your back."

"I promise."

"Say it like you mean it."

"I mean it, Andrés." Colosio smiled, reached out, squeezed Obrador's shoulder. "I mean it. You're a good friend. The best. You worry too much, but that's part of your charm."

Obrador stared at him for a long moment. Then, suddenly, his expression shifted—something softer, almost wistful, crossing his weathered features.

"D'you remember?" he asked quietly.

"Remember what?"

"That night. In high school. When we were boys."

Colosio blinked. The world seemed to tilt slightly, and it had nothing to do with the mezcal. "Andrés..."

"I've never forgotten." Obrador's voice was barely a whisper now. "The way you touched me. The way we pretended it never happened afterward. The way I've carried it with me every day of my life, like a stone in my chest."

"We were young. We were experimenting. It didn't mean—"

"It meant everything." Obrador's eyes were bright. Wet. "To me, it meant everything."

The silence stretched between them, heavy and strange. Colosio thought about pulling away, about laughing it off, about saying something that would turn this moment into a joke they could both pretend to forget. But he didn't. He couldn't. Because the truth was, he'd never forgotten either.

"Andrés," he said softly.

"Don't." Obrador shook his head. "I'm not asking for anything. I just wanted you to know. Before tomorrow. Before you go out there and face whatever's waiting for you." He tried to smile. "I wanted you to know that someone loves you. Really loves you. Not your position or your power or what you can do for them. Just you."

Colosio felt something crack in his chest. The alcohol, the exhaustion, the weight of the campaign and the expectations and the endless performing—all of it seemed to crash into him at once. He reached out and took Obrador's hand, held it in his own, felt the calluses and the warmth.

"I never forgot either," he admitted. "I just... I couldn't. With who I am. With what I'm trying to do. A man can't be president and be... that."

"No," Obrador agreed. "He can't. Not in this country. Not in this life."

They sat in silence for a while. The bar around them seemed to breathe, settling into its own history, keeping their secrets as it had kept a thousand others.

"When I give my speech tomorrow," Colosio said finally, "when I'm standing up there in front of all those people, trying to find the words that will change everything—"

"Yes?"

"I'll be thinking of you." Colosio smiled, and it was the truest smile he'd smiled in years. "Of that night. Of what it felt like to be young and scared and brave all at once. Of what it felt like to want something I couldn't have."

Obrador's hand tightened around his. "Luis Donaldo..."

"Come back to the hotel with me."

Obrador pulled back slightly. Studied his face. "You don't mean that."

"Maybe not. Maybe it's just the mezcal. But right now, tonight, in this moment..." Colosio leaned in, his lips brushing Obrador's ear. "I mean it."

They stumbled out of the bar together, arms around each other, two drunk friends who might have been something more in another world, another life. The streets of Mexico City stretched before them, dark and alive with possibility.

Neither of them knew it would be the last time.


The morning came too bright and too soon. Colosio woke alone in his hotel room with a head that felt split open and a mouth that tasted like regret. There was a note on the pillow beside him, written in Obrador's cramped, hasty script:

Be careful. Remember what I said. And remember that you are loved.

Colosio read it twice, then folded it carefully and placed it in the inside pocket of his jacket, over his heart. He showered. Dressed. Practiced his speech in the mirror, the words about justice and truth and a new Mexico.

He thought about Obrador's warning. About the mysterious contract, the castrated enemies, the paranoid fantasies that might not be fantasies at all.

Then he thought about Carlos, his friend and mentor, the man who had given him everything.

And he thought about that night in high school, the one he'd never told anyone about, the one he'd tried for thirty years to forget. The night he'd learned that wanting something didn't make it wrong, only dangerous.

What it felt like to be young and scared and brave all at once.

The motorcade was waiting. Tijuana was waiting. History was waiting.

Luis Donaldo Colosio straightened his tie, put on his campaign smile, and walked out to meet it.

Scroll to Top