The Rise of Zedillo

4,930 words · 25 min read
Teen and up

The first shot took him in the head.

Luis Donaldo Colosio had been walking through the crowd at Lomas Taurinas, that tight squeeze of a slum perched on Tijuana's dusty hills, surrounded by bodies and noise and the desperate hope that followed him everywhere now. The sun was harsh. The people were pressing in. His security detail—Raúl Salinas's handpicked men—had opened a corridor through the thousands, and Colosio had done what Colosio always did: he reached out. He touched hands. He looked people in the eye.

The man who shot him came from the left. Young. Clean-cut. Wearing a polyester suit too warm for the weather. He moved like someone who had practiced this moment in his mind a thousand times.

Bang.

The bullet entered behind Colosio's right ear and exited through his face, taking with it bone and brain and everything he had ever been or would be. He dropped. The crowd screamed. A second shot rang out—some said it came from another direction, another gun, another killer who was never found—and then the chaos swallowed everything.

Blood pooled on the dusty ground. Hands grabbed at the shooter. Someone shouted for a doctor. Someone else shouted for revenge. The security men drew their weapons too late, always too late, and the rally that was supposed to launch a new era in Mexican politics became instead the site of the century's most brazen political murder.

Colosio was still breathing when they loaded him into a van—not an ambulance, there wasn't time—and raced through Tijuana's gridlocked streets toward the hospital. His wife Diana was somewhere behind, screaming his name. The crowd had become a mob. The mob had become a beast with a thousand heads, all of them howling.

At 5:55 p.m., Luis Donaldo Colosio was declared dead.


Three hundred miles away, Ernesto Zedillo was eating a late lunch.

The Secretary of Public Education sat in a quiet restaurant in Mexico City, alone with his thoughts and a plate of half-finished fish. He had been Colosio's campaign coordinator once, before being shuffled into the cabinet, before being quietly removed from the inner circle for reasons no one had ever explained to him. He was a technocrat, like Salinas—Yale-educated, soft-spoken, possessed of that particular blandness that made him easy to overlook.

His phone rang.

Zedillo answered, listened, said nothing for a long moment. His face, that careful mask of bureaucratic neutrality, did not change. But his hand tightened on the receiver until his knuckles went white.

"I understand," he said finally. "Thank you for telling me."

He hung up. Stared at his plate of cold fish. Around him, the restaurant continued its quiet business—clinking glasses, murmured conversations, the soft shuffle of waiters in their white jackets.

Colosio was dead.

Zedillo thought about the last time he had seen him, a few weeks ago at Los Pinos. They had shaken hands. Colosio had seemed tired but determined, haunted by something Zedillo couldn't name. There had been rumors, of course—rumors about speeches that would shake the foundations, about documents that would be released, about a candidate who had decided to burn down the house that built him.

Zedillo had dismissed the rumors. He dismissed most rumors. That was how you survived in the PRI.

He paid his bill and walked out into the Mexico City afternoon, the sun warm on his face, the air thick with smog and possibility. He had no idea that men were already saying his name in rooms he couldn't see, that fingers were already pointing in his direction, that the machinery of succession was already grinding into motion.

He walked. He thought. He wondered who would be next.


At Los Pinos, Carlos Salinas de Gortari stood at the window of his study and watched the lights of the city come on, one by one, like stars being born in the gathering dark.

The news had reached him an hour ago. He had been in a meeting with his chief of staff when the call came, and he had known—known before he even picked up the phone—what it would say. He had excused himself. Walked to this window. Stood here ever since, motionless, a statue in an expensive suit.

Colosio was dead.

The thought moved through him like ice water, cold and clarifying. He had known it would happen, of course. He had given the order himself. But knowing and knowing were different things, and there was a part of him—a small, human part he had spent decades trying to kill—that felt the loss like a wound.

Luis Donaldo had been his friend. His protégé. The son of a bricklayer who had risen to the cusp of the presidency through sheer force of will and intelligence. Salinas had believed in him once. Had thought he might actually be the one to continue the work, to cement the legacy, to make Mexico into what it was always meant to be.

But then Colosio had changed. The campaign had gotten into his blood, those screaming crowds, those desperate faces. He had started believing his own rhetoric. Started talking about justice, about reform, about truth—as if truth were something that could be spoken aloud in a country like this.

And worst of all, he had started asking questions. About the files.

Salinas closed his eyes. Remembered.

There were documents in the PRI's deepest archives that could never see the light of day. Records of operations that went back decades—arrangements with cartels, assassinations disguised as accidents, judges and politicians and businessmen who had been... corrected. The infrastructure of a state that ruled through corruption as much as through consent. If Colosio had gotten his hands on those files, if he had done what he was threatening to do and exposed even a fraction of what they contained...

Everything would have crumbled. The NAFTA agreements. The American investment. The delicate fiction of Mexican democracy. All of it, gone. And Salinas would have been remembered not as the architect of modern Mexico but as the last in a long line of thieves and murderers.

He couldn't allow that.

He wouldn't.

Salinas opened his eyes. The city glittered before him, oblivious, beautiful, corrupt. Somewhere out there, Colosio's wife was weeping. Somewhere, his children were learning that their father was never coming home. Somewhere, Andrés Manuel López Obrador was surely drinking himself into a rage, knowing—knowing—that his paranoid warnings had been right all along.

Good. Let him rage. Let them all rage. In a few weeks, the anger would fade. In a few months, the official story would be set in stone: a lone gunman, a tragedy, a nation in mourning. The investigation would go nowhere. The conspiracy theories would multiply and contradict each other until no one knew what to believe.

And Mexico would move on. It always did.

Salinas turned from the window. Moved to his desk. Sat in the chair that had belonged to presidents before him, men who had made impossible choices in this very room.

He thought, briefly, of Felipe González Márquez.

The Spanish prime minister had been a problem, years ago. Not a direct threat, but a complication—a man who knew too much about the financial arrangements between Mexico City and certain European banks, who had begun asking questions about the flow of money through channels that were supposed to be invisible. Salinas had tried diplomacy. Tried leverage. Tried everything short of violence.

In the end, he had sent a message. Not death—death was too messy, too public. Something more personal. A warning that certain lines should not be crossed.

The surgery had been performed in a private clinic outside Madrid. González had survived, of course. He had survived and he had learned, and he had never asked another question about Mexican finances. But the look in his eyes when he understood what had been taken from him—that look had haunted Salinas for years.

There are things worse than death, that look said. And you know all of them.

Salinas shook the memory away. González was ancient history. Colosio was the present. And the future...

The future was sitting in a restaurant somewhere in Mexico City, eating cold fish and wondering what came next.

Ernesto Zedillo.

Salinas had his faults. He was bland, indecisive, lacking the fire that a real leader needed. But he was also controllable. He understood how the game was played. He wouldn't go searching for files that were better left buried. He wouldn't make speeches about truth and justice. He would do what he was told and keep the money flowing and preserve the system that had given him everything.

He would be safe.

Salinas reached for his phone. Began to dial.

Outside his window, Mexico City burned with twenty million lights, each one a life that would continue unchanged because of what he had done today. The peso would stabilize. The markets would recover. The Americans would keep their money coming. And in six years, when Zedillo's term ended, someone else would take over, and the dance would continue, forever and ever, world without end.

For the good of the country, Salinas told himself.

And somewhere, in the darkest corner of his heart, he almost believed it.


The campaign headquarters smelled of fresh paint and desperation.

Ernesto Zedillo stood in the center of the war room—a repurposed warehouse in the Roma Norte district, hastily converted after Colosio's death—and tried to ignore the way his staff looked at him. They looked at him like a man who had been handed a crown made of thorns. They looked at him like a substitute teacher, temporary and slightly embarrassing.

The polls were good. That was the strange thing. The sympathy vote alone had pushed him twelve points ahead of the opposition, and the PRI machine was doing what the PRI machine did: delivering votes from places that didn't exist, counting ballots that had never been cast, manufacturing consent with the smooth efficiency of a slaughterhouse. Zedillo would win. Everyone knew he would win. The only question was what would be left of him afterward.

"Ernesto."

The voice came from behind him. Zedillo didn't turn—he had learned to recognize that particular cadence, that softness that wasn't softness at all but rather the absence of anything that could be called warmth.

"Carlos," he said. "I didn't hear you come in."

Salinas moved into his peripheral vision, immaculate as always in a charcoal suit that cost more than Zedillo's first car. The outgoing president had been appearing more frequently lately, advising, guiding, hands-on in ways that made Zedillo's skin prickle.

"The speech for Monterrey," Salinas said, holding out a folder. "I had some thoughts."

Zedillo took it. Didn't open it. "I had some thoughts of my own."

"Of course you did." Salinas smiled—a small thing, a private thing, a thing that made Zedillo feel like a boy being indulged by a particularly patient tutor. "But the Monterrey crowd is particular. They need to hear about stability. About continuity. They need to know that the work we've begun will continue."

"The work" meant NAFTA. It meant privatization. It meant the wholesale transformation of Mexico into something that looked increasingly like a subsidiary of the United States. Zedillo had his doubts about all of it—the speed, the scope, the men who were getting rich while the campesinos lost their land—but he kept those doubts behind his teeth, where they belonged.

"I'll review it," Zedillo said.

"Review it." Salinas stepped closer. He smelled of sandalwood and something else, something clean and masculine that made Zedillo think of locker rooms and shared cigarettes. "Ernesto. You know I only want to help."

"I know."

"You're doing well. Better than I expected, if I'm honest. Luis Donaldo was..." A pause. Something flickered across Salinas's face, there and gone. "Luis Donaldo was special. Irreplaceable. But you have your own strengths."

"What strengths are those?"

The question came out more naked than Zedillo had intended. Salinas studied him for a long moment, his dark eyes unreadable.

"Discipline," he said finally. "Patience. The ability to understand that some things are more important than individual ambition." He reached out, adjusted Zedillo's lapel, his fingers lingering a beat too long on the fabric. "You know how to follow. That's rarer than you might think."

The words should have stung. Instead, Zedillo felt something else—something complicated and warm that spread through his chest like good tequila. He thought about the nights he'd spent in this warehouse, alone with his doubts, wondering if he was being groomed or trapped. He thought about the way Salinas looked at him sometimes, like a possession, like a promise.

He thought about Colosio.

"I should prepare for Monterrey," Zedillo said.

"Of course." Salinas's hand dropped from his lapel. "But first—there's something you should see. In my office."


The ride to Los Pinos was silent.

Zedillo sat in the back of the presidential car—still not his, not yet, just borrowed like everything else—and watched the city slide past the tinted windows. The streets were full of vendors and children and the desperate energy of people who didn't know what was coming. The peso had been wobbling for weeks. The economists were using words like "correction" and "adjustment," but Zedillo knew the truth.

The truth was that Mexico was broke. The truth was that Salinas's miracle had been built on borrowed money and borrowed time. The truth was that someone was going to have to clean up the mess, and that someone was probably going to be him.

Salinas sat beside him, close enough that their shoulders almost touched. He was reading something on his phone, his face bathed in pale light, his expression serene. How could he be serene? How could he sit there, knowing what was coming, knowing what he had done to the country's finances, knowing what he had done to Colosio—

No. Zedillo pushed the thought away. That way lay madness. That way lay questions he couldn't afford to ask, not yet, maybe not ever.

"You're worried about the peso," Salinas said without looking up.

"I'm worried about a lot of things."

"The peso is manageable. It requires..." He paused, chose his words with care. "Certain measures. Unpleasant measures. But manageable."

"What kind of measures?"

Salinas finally looked at him. In the dim light of the car, his face was all shadows and angles, handsome in the way that predator birds were handsome.

"The kind that make people angry," he said. "The kind that lose elections. Which is why you're going to let me handle it."

"Let you handle it."

"Trust me, Ernesto." Salinas's hand found his knee. Rested there. Warm and heavy through the fabric of his trousers. "By the time you take office, the worst will be over. The markets will have corrected. The Americans will have stepped in with their loans. All you'll have to do is smile and cut ribbons."

It sounded too easy. Everything with Salinas sounded too easy.

"And what do I owe you for this... assistance?"

The hand on his knee squeezed slightly. "Nothing you're not already giving."

Zedillo didn't ask what that meant. He wasn't sure he wanted to know.


Los Pinos at night felt different than during the day.

Without the staff, without the meetings, without the endless performative busyness of governance, the presidential residence revealed itself as what it truly was: a very large house filled with very expensive furniture and the ghosts of men who had slept here before. Zedillo had never liked it. It felt like a museum where the exhibits were still breathing.

Salinas led him to the study—the same study, Zedillo noted, where so many fates had been decided over the years. The same window overlooking the same city. The same desk where the outgoing president had probably signed orders he didn't want to think about.

"Drink?" Salinas asked.

"It's late."

"It's always late." He poured two glasses of that same añejo tequila, the one from Jalisco, and pressed one into Zedillo's hand. Their fingers brushed. The contact was electric, deliberate, impossible to ignore.

Zedillo took the glass. Drank. The tequila burned going down, a good burn, a necessary burn.

"I've been thinking," Salinas said, settling into the chair behind the desk with the easy confidence of a man who had never doubted his right to be anywhere he chose to be. "About after."

"After?"

"After the election. After the transition. After you're sitting in this chair and I'm..." He waved a hand. "Wherever I end up."

The question in his voice was subtle, but Zedillo heard it. Where would Salinas end up? That was the question, wasn't it? The ex-president of Mexico didn't simply retire. He became an elder statesman, a power behind the throne, a shadow that fell across everything his successor tried to do.

Or he became a problem.

"You'll have a role," Zedillo said carefully. "If you want one."

"A role." Salinas smiled. "How generous. What kind of role?"

"Advisor. Counselor. Whatever you prefer."

"Whatever I prefer." Salinas swirled his tequila, watching the light play through the amber liquid. "And if what I prefer is to continue... guiding you? As I have been?"

There it was. The question beneath all the other questions. The real negotiation happening underneath the pretense of politics.

Zedillo thought about the peso. About the billions in bad debt that Salinas had hidden off the books. About the coming crash that would make the Tequila Crisis look like a mild hangover. He thought about Colosio, bleeding out in a Tijuana van while his security detail stood around with their thumbs up their asses.

He thought about the way Salinas was looking at him right now—hungry and possessive and something else, something that made Zedillo's pulse quicken against his will.

"I'm not Luis Donaldo," Zedillo said quietly.

"No." Salinas rose, came around the desk, stood close enough that Zedillo could feel the heat radiating off his body. "You're not. Luis Donaldo thought he could change everything. He thought the system could be reformed from within." His hand came up, cupped Zedillo's jaw, tilted his face upward. "You're smarter than that. You understand that some things can only be survived."

"Is that what we're doing? Surviving?"

"It's what we've always done. It's what this country has always done." Salinas's thumb traced Zedillo's lower lip, feather-light. "The question is whether we survive together or separately."

Zedillo should have pulled away. Should have said something about boundaries, about professionalism, about the fact that they were two grown men in the presidential residence engaging in something that felt dangerously far from politics.

Instead, he stayed perfectly still. Let Salinas touch him. Let himself feel the strange comfort of being wanted, even if the wanting was tangled up with power and control and things he didn't have names for.

"Together," he said.

Salinas smiled. Leaned in. His lips brushed Zedillo's ear, warm and damp.

"Good," he whispered. "Now let's talk about Monterrey."


The rally in Monterrey was a success.

Zedillo gave the speech Salinas had written for him, used the phrases Salinas had chosen, smiled at the moments Salinas had indicated. The crowd cheered. The cameras flashed. The headlines the next day declared him a worthy successor, a safe pair of hands, a man who would continue the work of modernizing Mexico.

Standing backstage afterward, sweat cooling on his brow, Zedillo felt Salinas's hand on the small of his back.

"Perfect," Salinas murmured. "You're learning."

Zedillo thought about the peso. About the files he would eventually have to see. About the questions he would eventually have to ask.

He thought about Colosio, who had asked those questions too late.

"I'm learning," he agreed.

And he let Salinas guide him toward the car, toward the presidency, toward whatever came next.


The numbers came in at near midnight.

Ernesto Zedillo watched the television screens mounted throughout campaign headquarters, each one showing the same thing: his face, the PRI colors, the scrolling percentages that declared him the next president of Mexico. 48.2%. 49.1%. 50.3%. The gap widened. The opposition candidates—Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas with his righteous anger, Diego Fernández de Cevallos with his polished reforms—faded into statistical irrelevance.

The room erupted.

Three hundred people screamed at once, a wall of sound that hit Zedillo like a physical force. Hands grabbed at him. Women wept. Men embraced strangers. Someone popped a bottle of champagne that sprayed across the war room's low ceiling, raining down on the computers and the phones and the maps of Mexico that had guided every decision of the past four months.

He had won.

He had won, and he felt nothing.

Nilda Patricia found him in the chaos. His wife of twenty-two years, the mother of his five children, the woman who had tolerated his absences and his ambitions and the slow transformation of their marriage into a political arrangement. She was beautiful tonight, in a way he hadn't noticed in years—her dark hair pinned up, her dress the red-white-green of the party, her eyes bright with tears that might have been joy.

"Ernesto," she breathed, and threw her arms around his neck.

He kissed her. It was the right thing to do. The cameras were watching.

Her lips were warm and familiar, and all he could think about was Carlos Salinas standing somewhere in this room, watching, possessing. The memory of that hand on his knee in the car. Those fingers on his jaw in the study. That whisper in his ear.

You understand that some things can only be survived.

"Mr. President," someone shouted, and the room roared again, and Zedillo pulled back from his wife's face to see hundreds of people raising their glasses toward him. He raised his own glass, the champagne he hadn't asked for, and smiled the smile he had practiced in mirrors for thirty years.

President.

The word felt like a collar.


The party swelled and spilled and transformed into something feral.

Mariachis appeared from nowhere, blaring "Cielito Lindo" while campaign workers danced on tables and interns made out in corners and the old guard of the PRI stood around the edges, watching, calculating, already positioning themselves for the administration to come. The air was thick with sweat and tequila and the desperate relief of people who had been holding their breath for months.

Zedillo moved through the crowd like a ghost, shaking hands, accepting congratulations, murmuring the appropriate phrases of gratitude and humility. Nilda stayed close, her hand resting on his arm, her presence a shield against the hands that wanted to grab and clutch.

He was looking for Salinas.

The outgoing president had been here earlier—Zedillo had seen him across the room, that familiar silhouette, that knowing smile. But now he was gone, vanished into the noise, leaving nothing but the memory of his touch.

"Ernesto."

The voice came from his blind side. He turned.

Andrés Manuel López Obrador stood in a doorway half-hidden by a potted ficus, his face shadowed, his cheap linen suit rumpled as always. He looked like he hadn't slept in weeks. He looked like a man carrying a coffin on his back.

"Andrés." Zedillo stepped toward him, pulling away from Nilda with a murmured excuse. "I didn't expect to see you here."

"Neither did I." Obrador's voice was flat. Angry. "I came to see what betrayal looks like up close."

The words landed like slaps. Zedillo glanced around—no one was paying attention, everyone too lost in their celebration—but he stepped closer anyway, pulling Obrador into the shadows.

"This isn't the time."

"There's never a time with you people. There's only the next election, the next fix, the next body to bury." Obrador's eyes were wet. "You took his place. You stood over his grave and then you took his place."

"Luis Donaldo was my friend too."

"Don't." Obrador's hand shot out, grabbed Zedillo's wrist with surprising strength. "Don't you dare. You weren't his friend. You were his replacement. The safe choice. The one who wouldn't ask questions."

Zedillo felt his pulse quicken. "What questions should I be asking?"

Obrador stared at him. Something shifted in his expression—the anger giving way to something else. Pity, maybe. Or fear.

"You know what happened to him," Obrador said quietly. "I know you know. Everyone knows, even if no one says it. He was murdered. Not by some lone gunman with a grudge—by the system. By the men who were supposed to protect him."

"The investigation—"

"Fuck the investigation." Obrador leaned closer, his breath sour with cheap whiskey. "I have files, Ernesto. Documents. Names. I know what Carlos did, and I know why he did it. And I know what he'll do to you if you let him."

Zedillo's wrist throbbed where Obrador held it. He could feel the other man's pulse, rapid and uneven, the heartbeat of someone running out of road.

"What do you want from me?"

"I want you to choose." Obrador's grip tightened. "Right now. Tonight. You can either be his puppet or you can be the president. You can let the PRI control you, or you can control it. But you can't do both."

"That's not how this works."

"That's exactly how it works. That's how it's always worked." Obrador's voice dropped to a whisper. "Luis Donaldo figured that out too late. Don't make his mistake."

Zedillo stood frozen. The noise of the party washed over them—trumpets and laughter and the clink of glasses—but it felt distant, unreal, like a television left on in another room.

"Who else knows about these files?" he asked.

"Me. A few others. People you've never heard of." Obrador finally released his wrist. "We're keeping them safe. In case."

"In case of what?"

"In case you decide to be the man Luis Donaldo thought you could be."

Obrador stepped back. His face was unreadable in the shadows.

"Enjoy your victory, Ernesto. It cost more than you know."

He turned and disappeared into the crowd, that rumpled linen jacket swallowed by the mass of dancing bodies, leaving Zedillo alone with his racing thoughts and the weight of a choice he wasn't ready to make.


Nilda found him again twenty minutes later.

She was tipsy now, her careful composure loosened by champagne and triumph. She looped her arms around his neck and pressed her body against his, swaying slightly to the mariachi music that had somehow gotten louder.

"There you are," she murmured. "The president of Mexico. My husband."

He kissed her forehead. Inhaled the scent of her perfume, something floral and forgettable. She was warm and soft and real, and she loved him—he knew she did, in the way that wives loved husbands after decades of accumulated habit.

But his mind was somewhere else. His body was somewhere else.

"Come with me," he said.

He led her through the crowd, past the dancing and the drinking and the celebrating, to the small office at the back of campaign headquarters. The door locked behind them. The noise became a muffle.

"Ernesto?" Nilda's eyes were questioning, amused. "What are you—"

He pushed her against the desk. Not gently. His hands found the hem of her dress, yanked it up around her waist. She gasped—surprise, maybe, or something else.

"You won," she breathed. "You actually won."

"I know."

He spun her around. Bent her over the desk, her palms flat against the wood, her dress bunched around her hips. The campaign maps crinkled beneath her. Maps of Mexico, maps of the country he now owned.

"Ernesto, the party—"

"Let them party."

He took her from behind, quick and mechanical, his eyes fixed on the wall above her head. She made the sounds she always made—small gasps, soft moans, the performance of pleasure that marriage had taught them both. Her fingers scrabbled at the desk, knocking over a cup of pens.

He didn't feel her. He felt Carlos Salinas's hand on his knee. He felt those fingers on his jaw, tilting his face upward. He felt the weight of the collar settling around his neck, the leash extending from Los Pinos to wherever he went.

You understand that some things can only be survived.

Nilda cried out. He wasn't sure if it was real or performed. It didn't matter.

He finished inside her with a groan that might have been pleasure or might have been grief, and then he stayed there, bent over her body, his forehead resting against her shoulder blade, his breath coming in ragged gasps.

"Ernesto?" Her voice was small. Concerned. "Are you okay?"

He pulled back. Straightened his clothes. Watched her rearrange her dress, her movements shaky, her face flushed.

"I'm fine," he said. "I'm the president."

She smiled at him. That smile he'd known for twenty-two years. The smile that said she believed him, even when he was lying.

"Come back to the party," she said. "They're waiting for you."


He followed her out of the office, through the warehouse, past the ficus where Obrador had stood.

The party was still roaring. The champagne was still flowing. The mariachis were still playing.

And somewhere, in a house he couldn't see, Carlos Salinas was waiting.

Zedillo raised his glass to the crowd and smiled, and the presidency began.

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